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CMMB (Chemomab Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.49% (As of Mar. 14, 2025)


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What is Chemomab Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.49%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chemomab Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Chemomab Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.32

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.49%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Chemomab Therapeutics  (NAS:CMMB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Chemomab Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Chemomab Therapeutics Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Kiryat Atidim, Building 7, Tel Aviv, ISR, 6158002
Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd is a clinical-stage biotech company, focusing on the discovery and development of therapeutics for fibrosis-related diseases with large unmet needs. The company's candidate, CM-101, is a monoclonal antibody that targets CCL24 and was shown to interfere with the underlying biology of liver, skin and lung fibrosis using a novel and differentiated mechanism of action. CM-101 has demonstrated the potential to treat multiple severe and life threatening fibrotic and inflammatory diseases. It is advancing three Phase 2 clinical trials in parallel for CM-101 treating rare fibrotic conditions.
Executives
Orbimed Israel Biofund Gp Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 1022-4629
George Adi Mor director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 15 KAFRISIN ST., TEL AVIV L3 6901658
Neil Harris Cohen director C/O ANCHIANO THERAPEUTICS LTD., ONE KENDALL SQ., BLDG 1400E, STE 14-105, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Matthew Bejosa Frankel officer: Chief Medical Officer 672 PROSPECT AVE., PRINCETON NJ 08540
Jill M. Quigley director TWO COMMERCE SQUARE, 2001 MARKET STREET, 28TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Joel Michael Maryles director 5 ATZMON ST., HASHMONAIM L3 7312700
Donald Marvin officer: Executive VP, CFO & COO 2094 LOST CANYON RANCH CT, CASTLE ROCK CO 80104
Dale R Pfost director, officer: Chief Executive Officer ACUITY PHARMACEUTICALS INC, 3701 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Nissim Darvish director C/O INNOVATE BIOPHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 8480 HONEYCUTT ROAD, SUITE 120, RALEIGH NC 27615
Peter Thiel 10 percent owner 9200 SUNSET BOULEVARD, SUITE 1110, WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Sigal Fatal officer: Chief Financial Officer 16 KANFEY NESHARIM ST., RAMAT GAN L3 5235716
Arnon Aharon officer: Chief Medical Officer 12 YAVNE ST., TEL AVIV L3 6579116
Alan Charles Moses director C/O 7 PINHAS SAPIR ST., FLOOR 2, NESS ZIONA L3 7414002
Stephen P Squinto director C/O ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS INC, 352 KNOTTER DRIVE, CHESHIRE CT 06410
Orbimed Israel Gp Ltd. 10 percent owner 601 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022-4629