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CPMV (Mosaic ImmunoEngineering) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 12.18% (As of Jun. 21, 2025)


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What is Mosaic ImmunoEngineering Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 12.18%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mosaic ImmunoEngineering's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Mosaic ImmunoEngineering Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=12.18%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mosaic ImmunoEngineering  (OTCPK:CPMV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mosaic ImmunoEngineering Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mosaic ImmunoEngineering Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9114 Adams Avenue, Suite 202, Huntington Beach, CA, USA, 92646
Mosaic ImmunoEngineering Inc is a development-stage biotechnology company focused on bridging immunology and engineering to develop novel immunotherapies to treat and prevent cancer and infectious diseases. It has a single operating segment for the purposes of assessing performance and making operating decisions.
Executives
Robert Baffi director C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 105 DIGITAL DRIVE, NOVATO CA 94949
Case Western Reserve University 10 percent owner 10900 EUCLID AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44106
Steven W King director, officer: President and CEO
Paul J Lytle director, officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer
Robert L Garnick director C/O PATRIOT SCIENTIFIC, 2038 CORTE DEL NOGAL, SUITE 141, CARLSBAD CA 92011
Nicole Franziska Steinmetz director, officer: Chief Scientific Officer 871 WILBUR AVENUE, SAN DIEGO CA 92019
Dharmesh Mistry director 315 PEMBROKE COURT, SAN RAMON CA 94582
Carlton M Johnson director
Donald E Schrock director C/O INTEGRATED DEVICE TECHNOLOGY, INC., 6024 SILVER CREEK VALLEY ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Paul R Bibeau officer: VP, Business Development MICROSEMI CORP, 2381 MORSE AVE, IRVINE CA 92614
Frederick C Goerner officer: Chief Executive Officer MICROSEMI CORPORATION, ONE ENTERPRISE, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Clifford L Flowers officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BAKBONE SOFTWARE, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Harry L Tredennick director 6183 PASEO DEL NORTE #180, CARLSBAD CA 92011
Thomas J Sweeney officer: CFO
Helmut Jr Falk director

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