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Capri Holdings (Capri Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.06% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Capri Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Capri Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Capri Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Capri Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Capri Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Capri Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.35

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Capri Holdings  (NYSE:CPRI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Capri Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Capri Holdings (Capri Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
90 Whitfield Street, 2nd Floor, London, GBR, W1T 4EZ
Michael Kors, Versace, and Jimmy Choo are the brands of Capri Holdings, a marketer, distributor, and retailer of upscale accessories and apparel. Michael Kors, Capri's largest brand, offers handbags, footwear, and apparel through more than 800 company-owned stores, wholesale, and e-commerce. Versace (acquired in 2018) is known for its ready-to-wear luxury fashion, while Jimmy Choo (acquired in 2017) is best known for women's luxury footwear. John Idol has served as CEO since 2003.
Executives
Cedric Wilmotte officer: CEO - Michael Kors C/O CAPRI HOLDINGS LIMITED, 90 WHITFIELD STREET, 2ND FLOOR, LONDON X0 W1T 4EZ
Mahesh Madhavan director C/O CAPRI HOLDINGS LIMITED, 90 WHITFIELD STREET, 2ND FLOOR, LONDON X0 W1T 4EZ
Judy Gibbons director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
John D Idol director, officer: Chairman & CEO 650 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Daniel Purefoy officer: SVP, Global Ops 33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Thomas Jr. Edwards officer: EVP, CFO, COO & Treasurer 6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
Stephen F Reitman director 11 WEST 42ND STREET, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Krista A Mcdonough officer: SVP, General Counsel 33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Joshua Schulman officer: CEO - Michael Kors 603 WEST 50TH STREET, NEW YORK X1 10019
Marilyn C Crouther director 1902 RESTON METRO PLAZA, RESTON VA 20190
Jenna Hendricks officer: SVP, Chief People Officer 33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Jean Tomlin director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Freestone Robin Anthony David director 33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Ann Mclaughlin Korologos director PO BOX 3599, BATTLECREEK MI 49016-3599
Cathy Marie Robinson officer: SVP, Corp Str & Ch Ops Off C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036

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