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Central Energy Partners LP (Central Energy Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 22, 2024)


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What is Central Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Central Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Central Energy Partners LP  (GREY:ENGY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Central Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Central Energy Partners LP (Central Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4809 Cole Avenue, Suite 108, Dallas, TX, USA, 75205
Central Energy Partners LP provides liquid bulk storage, trans-loading, and transportation services for hazardous chemicals and petroleum products. Its key activities include the storage, transportation and railcar trans-loading of bulk liquids, including hazardous chemicals and petroleum products. It transports a range of hazardous products, such as aluminum sulfate solution, hydrochloric acid, sulfuric acid, aqua ammonia, sodium bisulfate and fuel blends.
Executives
Alan D Bell director C/O DUNE ENERGY, INC., TWO SHELL PLAZA, 777 WALKER STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ian T Bothwell officer: EVP, CFO & Secretary 77 530 ENFIELD LANE, BLDG D, PALM DESERT CA 92211
David M. Laney director 901 MAIN STREET, SUITE 3601, DALLAS TX 75202
Jerry V Swank director 3300 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 650, DALLAS TX 75219
Daniel L Spears director C/O EMERALD OIL, INC., 200 COLUMBINE, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80206
Imad K. Anbouba director, officer: General Partner 10440 N CENTRAL EXPWAY, SUITE 1010, DALLAS TX 75231
Cushing Mlp Opportunity Fund I, Lp 10 percent owner 8117 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 440, DALLAS TX 75225
Bruce I Raben director 430 VICTORIA TERRACE, RIDGEFIELD NJ 7657
Cushing Mlp Asset Management, Lp 10 percent owner 600 NORTH PEARL STREET, SUITE 1205, DALLAS TX 75201
Swank Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 8117 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 440, DALLAS TX 75225

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