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Central Energy Partners LP (Central Energy Partners LP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-1.29 (As of Jun. 16, 2024)


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What is Central Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-06-16), Central Energy Partners LP's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-1.29.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Central Energy Partners LP's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Central Energy Partners LP is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Central Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ENGY's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 0.685
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Central Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Central Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Central Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Central Energy Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Central Energy Partners LP Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Central Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Central Energy Partners LP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Central Energy Partners LP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Central Energy Partners LP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Central Energy Partners LP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Central Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.22%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Central Energy Partners LP's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.112.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Central Energy Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.112*11.5406
=-1.29

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-1.29-1.0E-5)/-1.29
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Central Energy Partners LP  (GREY:ENGY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Central Energy Partners LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Central Energy Partners LP (Central Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4809 Cole Avenue, Suite 108, Dallas, TX, USA, 75205
Central Energy Partners LP provides liquid bulk storage, trans-loading, and transportation services for hazardous chemicals and petroleum products. Its key activities include the storage, transportation and railcar trans-loading of bulk liquids, including hazardous chemicals and petroleum products. It transports a range of hazardous products, such as aluminum sulfate solution, hydrochloric acid, sulfuric acid, aqua ammonia, sodium bisulfate and fuel blends.
Executives
Alan D Bell director C/O DUNE ENERGY, INC., TWO SHELL PLAZA, 777 WALKER STREET, SUITE 2300, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ian T Bothwell officer: EVP, CFO & Secretary 77 530 ENFIELD LANE, BLDG D, PALM DESERT CA 92211
David M. Laney director 901 MAIN STREET, SUITE 3601, DALLAS TX 75202
Jerry V Swank director 3300 OAK LAWN AVENUE, SUITE 650, DALLAS TX 75219
Daniel L Spears director C/O EMERALD OIL, INC., 200 COLUMBINE, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80206
Imad K. Anbouba director, officer: General Partner 10440 N CENTRAL EXPWAY, SUITE 1010, DALLAS TX 75231
Cushing Mlp Opportunity Fund I, Lp 10 percent owner 8117 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 440, DALLAS TX 75225
Bruce I Raben director 430 VICTORIA TERRACE, RIDGEFIELD NJ 7657
Cushing Mlp Asset Management, Lp 10 percent owner 600 NORTH PEARL STREET, SUITE 1205, DALLAS TX 75201
Swank Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 8117 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 440, DALLAS TX 75225

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