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FNGR (FingerMotion) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.57% (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


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What is FingerMotion Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.57%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where FingerMotion's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



FingerMotion Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.16

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.57%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


FingerMotion  (NAS:FNGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


FingerMotion Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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FingerMotion Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
111 Somerset Road, Level 3, Singapore, SGP, 238164
FingerMotion Inc is engaged in the provision of mobile payment and recharge services in the Chinese market. The company business line includes Telecommunications Products and Services; Value Added Products and Services; Short Message Services (SMS) and Multimedia Messaging Services (MMS); a Rich Communication Services (RCS) platform; Big Data Insights; and a Video Games Division (inactive). It principally earns revenue by providing mobile payment and recharge services to customers of telecommunications companies in China.
Executives
Yew Poh Leong director 61 SPRINGSIDE VIEW, SINGAPORE U0 786060
Martin Chung-wen Shen officer: CEO and CFO 1322 W. KING EDWARD AVE., VANCOUVER A1 V6H 1Z9
Chee Ming Cheong 10 percent owner UNIT A 19/F TIMES MEDIA CENTRE, 133 WAN CHAI ROAD, WAN CHAI K3 --
Eng Ho Ng director 159 JALAN KAMPONG CHANTEK, SINGAPORE U0 587887
Yew Hon Lee officer: Chief Financial Officer NO 5, JALAN BRP 3/3C, SUNWAY RAHMAN PUTR, SEKSYEN U20, SHAH ALAM., SELANGOR N8 40160
Yang Yeat Choe 10 percent owner 6-9-1 V SQUARE PJ CITY CENTRE, JALAN UTARA, PETALING JAYA, SELANGOR N8 46200
Chan Michael K H director 15-07, 70 BAYSHORE ROAD, COSTA DEL SOL U0 469987
Charles Thomas Mcmillen director 1103 SOUTH CAROLINA AVENUE, WASHINGTON DC 20003
Hsien Loong Wong director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, CFO, and Director 6 WINDSOR PARK HILL, SINGAPORE U0 574198
Michael Thomas Brigante director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, President, CFO 17 DANIEL DRIVE, HILLSBOROUGH NJ 08844