GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Fortune Industries, Inc. (FRA:FD9A) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Fortune Industries, (FRA:FD9A) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 23, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Fortune Industries, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fortune Industries, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fortune Industries,  (FRA:FD9A) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fortune Industries, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fortune Industries,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fortune Industries, (FRA:FD9A) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Fortune Industries Inc Fortune Industries, Inc. was incorporated in the state of Delaware in 1988, restructured in 2000 and redomesticated to the state of Indiana in May 2005. The Company provides full service human resources outsourcing services through co-employment relationships with their clients. Effective November 30, 2008, the Company approved the sale of all of the remaining operating subsidiaries within four of the five segments, as Wireless Infrastructure, Transportation Infrastructure, Ultraviolet Technologies, and Electronics Integration, to a related party. Consequently, as of the effective date of the transaction, the Business Solutions segment is the Company's remaining operating segment. The Business Solutions segment is comprised of Professional Employer Organizations (PEOs) which provide full-service human resources outsourcing services through co-employment relationships with their clients. Companies operating in the Business Solutions Segment include Professional Staff Management, Inc. and subsidiaries (PSM); CSM, Inc. and subsidiaries and related entities (CSM); Precision Employee Management, LLC (PEM); and Employer Solutions Group, Inc. and related entities (ESG). The Companies in the Business Solutions segment bill their clients under Professional Services Agreements as licensed PEOs. The billing includes amounts for the client's gross wages, payroll taxes, employee benefits, workers' compensation insurance and an administration fee. The administration fee charged by the companies in this segment is typically a percentage of the gross payroll and is sufficient to allow the companies in this segment to provide payroll administration services, human resources consulting services, worksite safety training, and employment regulatory compliance for no additional fees. The Companies in the Business Solutions segment compete with other PEOs, third-party payroll processing and human resources consulting companies, and in-house human resources divisions. The Company's Business Solutions segment is subject to various federal, state and local laws and regulations pertaining to various employee benefit plans, employee retirement plans, Section 125 cafeteria plans, group health plans, welfare benefit plans and health care flexible spending accounts.

Fortune Industries, (FRA:FD9A) Headlines

No Headlines