What is International Game Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Gambling subindustry, International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where International Game Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
International Game Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
International Game Technology (FRA:IGT) Business Description
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International Game Technology was incorporated in Nevada in December 1980. It is a gaming Company specializing in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of casino-style gaming equipment, systems technology, and game content across multiple platforms land-based, online real-money and social gaming. The Company manages operations in two geographic segments namely North America and International. North America consists of operations in the US and Canada and International encompasses its efforts in all other jurisdictions. The Company has two revenue streams within each business segment gaming operations and product sales. It includes the sales of gaming equipment, systems, services, licensing, and component parts in Product Sales. It provides casino games, gaming equipment and systems technology for land-based and online social gaming and wagering markets under for-sale or revenue sharing arrangements. IGT systems products include infrastructure and applications for casino management, customer relationship management, player management, and server-based gaming. Casino management solutions include integrated modules for machine accounting, patron management, cage and table accounting, ticket-in/ticket-out, bonusing, and table game automation. The Company's competitors include Ainsworth Game Technology Ltd, Aristocrat Leisure Limited, Bally Technologies, Inc., Konami Gaming Inc., Novomatic Group of Companies, and WMS Industries, Inc. At September 30, 2013, the Company held approximately 6,000 patents or patent applications and approximately 4,100 trademarks filed and registered around the world. he manufacture and distribution of casino games, gaming equipment, systems technology, and related services, as well as the operation of casinos, is subject to regulation by a variety of federal, state, international, tribal, and local agencies, with the majority of oversight provided by individual state gaming control boards.
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