Teno Holdings Co (FSE:7037) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04% (As of Jun. 27, 2026)


FSE:7037 Teno Holdings Co Ltd FSE:7037
66 GF Score
Price 円555.00
GF Value 円410.03
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Teno Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Teno Holdings Co FSE:7037 66 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus rates FSE:7037 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円410.03. The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Teno Holdings Co  (FSE:7037) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Teno Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


FSE:7037 vs HCA, THC, DVA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Teno Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


FSE:7037
66GF Score
Teno Holdings Co Ltd FSE:7037
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Teno Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.87

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% mean?
Teno Holdings Co (FSE:7037) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Teno Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Overall, Teno Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 66/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to HCA and THC?
Teno Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04% can be compared against companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Healthcare Providers & Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Teno Holdings Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Teno Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Teno Holdings Co (FSE:7037) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.04%. The stock's GF Value™ is 円410.03, compared to a current price of 円555.00 — trading 35.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%. Teno Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Teno Holdings Co (FSE:7037), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Teno Holdings Co (FSE:7037) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Teno Holdings Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円555.00 is trading 35.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円410.03.

Key valuation signals for FSE:7037:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.04%
  • GF Value™: 円410.03 vs. price of 円555.00 (35.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FSE:7037 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Teno Holdings Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 7037:Japan
Address 10-10 Kamigofukumachi, Hakata-ku, Gofukumachi Business Center, 5th Floor, Kamigofuku-cho, Yubinbango, Fukuoka, JPN, 812-0036
Teno Holdings Co Ltd is a Japanese company offering childcare related services. Its service offerings include: Childcare business including Aiai nursery school, Hoppeland, Teno. Kids Room, Tetote, Kototomo, Nursery School, Childcare room and others; Nursing childcare includes Day care facility, and Residential care services; and Comprehensive Home service includes Babysitter service, Mothering service, Housekeeping service, Temp staffing service, Teno School (tenoSCHOOL), Temporary nursing care at the event, Nursing care service, and Teno. Children's Room. and others; and Life-related support projects include: Homemade Cooking, and Small-amount short-term insurance.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FSE:7037

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円555.00
Price
円410.03
GF Value