GM.WS.B (General Motors Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


GM.WS.B General Motors Co GM.WS.B
78 GF Score
Price $23.05
GF Value $12.32
! 11 Warning Signs
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What is General Motors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

General Motors Co GM.WS.B 78 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates GM.WS.B with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.32. The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

General Motors Co  (NYSE:GM.WS.B) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

General Motors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

GM.WS.B vs F, RIVN, XPEV: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

General Motors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


GM.WS.B
78GF Score
General Motors Co GM.WS.B
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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General Motors Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.51

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
General Motors Co (GM.WS.B) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
General Motors Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, General Motors Co has a GF Score™ of 78/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to F and RIVN?
General Motors Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. General Motors Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is General Motors Co stock overvalued right now?
General Motors Co (GM.WS.B) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05%. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.32, compared to a current price of $23.05 — trading 87.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. General Motors Co's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For General Motors Co (GM.WS.B), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is General Motors Co (GM.WS.B) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, General Motors Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $23.05 is trading 87.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $12.32.

Key valuation signals for GM.WS.B:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
  • GF Value™: $12.32 vs. price of $23.05 (87.1% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the GM.WS.B stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

General Motors Co Business Description

Address 1240 Woodward Avenue, Detroit, MI, USA, 48265
General Motors Co. emerged from the bankruptcy of General Motors Corp. (old GM) in July 2009. GM has eight brands and operates under three segments: GM North America, GM International, and GM Financial. The United States now has four brands instead of eight under old GM. The company regained its US market share leadership in 2022, after losing it to Toyota due to the chip shortage in 2021. 2025 US share was 17.4%, up 60 basis points from 2024. The Cruise autonomous vehicle arm, which GM now owns outright, previously operated driverless geofenced AV robotaxi services in San Francisco and other cities, but after a 2023 accident, GM decided that it will focus on personal AVs. GM Financial became the company's captive finance arm in 2010 via the purchase of AmeriCredit.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GM.WS.B

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$23.05
Price
$12.32
GF Value