Want Want China Holdings (HKSE:00151) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 13, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HKSE:00151 Want Want China Holdings Ltd HKSE:00151
88 GF Score
Price HK$3.32
GF Value HK$5.08
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Want Want China Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Want Want China Holdings HKSE:00151 -0.30% 88 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:00151 with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$5.08 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Want Want China Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Want Want China Holdings  (HKSE:00151) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Want Want China Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


HKSE:00151 vs KHC, GIS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Want Want China Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Want Want China Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Want Want China Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Want Want China Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:00151
88GF Score
Want Want China Holdings Ltd HKSE:00151
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Want Want China Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.96

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Want Want China Holdings (HKSE:00151) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 13, 2026.
Is Want Want China Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Want Want China Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Want Want China Holdings has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Want Want China Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to KHC and GIS?
Want Want China Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Consumer Packaged Goods industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Want Want China Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Want Want China Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Want Want China Holdings (HKSE:00151) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$5.08, compared to a current price of HK$3.32 — trading 34.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Want Want China Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Want Want China Holdings (HKSE:00151), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Want Want China Holdings (HKSE:00151) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Want Want China Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$3.32 is trading 34.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$5.08. GuruFocus considers Want Want China Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:00151:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: HK$5.08 vs. price of HK$3.32 (34.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:00151 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Want Want China Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges WWNTY:USA4HQ:Germany
Address No. 18 Sheung Yuet Road, Units 07-08, 7th Floor, FTLife Tower, Kowloon Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Want Want is a leading player in the China packaged food and beverage sector. The company was founded in 1962 in Taiwan and entered the mainland Chinese market in 1989. Its flagship products, such as Hot-Kid milk and Want Want rice crackers, are market leaders in the respective segments. With a primary focus on mainland China, the company also exports to overseas markets. As of March 2025, Want Want China had 419 sales offices, 35 production bases, and 89 factories on the Chinese mainland and worked with around 10,000 distributors.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:00151

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$3.32
Price
HK$5.08
GF Value