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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Maxnerva Technology Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Maxnerva Technology Services (HKSE:01037) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Maxnerva Technology Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
HKSE:01037 vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Maxnerva Technology Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Maxnerva Technology Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Software Industry
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Maxnerva Technology Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Maxnerva Technology Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Maxnerva Technology Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-6.13
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% mean?
Maxnerva Technology Services (HKSE:01037) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% as of Aug. 06, 2026.
Is Maxnerva Technology Services' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Maxnerva Technology Services' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. Overall, Maxnerva Technology Services has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Maxnerva Technology Services' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to IBM and ACN?
Maxnerva Technology Services' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.22% can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Software company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Software industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Maxnerva Technology Services's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Maxnerva Technology Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Maxnerva Technology Services (HKSE:01037) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.29, compared to a current price of HK$0.60 — trading 106.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22%. Maxnerva Technology Services' overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Maxnerva Technology Services (HKSE:01037), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.22% as of Aug. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Maxnerva Technology Services (HKSE:01037) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Maxnerva Technology Services stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of HK$0.60 is trading 106.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.29.
GuruFocus considers Maxnerva Technology Services to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for HKSE:01037:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.22%
GF Value™: HK$0.29 vs. price of HK$0.60 (106.9% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:01037 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Maxnerva Technology Services Ltd provides a range of smart manufacturing solutions and services to customers, including the implementation of a combination of software systems and automation equipment and robots into the production lines to lower costs and increase operational effectiveness and efficiency through smart processes; the implementation of facility monitor and control system for monitoring the efficiency of the usage of water, power, and gas at production plants; the implementation of facial recognition system for labor and security management of the entire industrial parks; and the provision of testing and inspection services for new and existing electronic products. Its segments are Digital Industry Business which derives the majority of revenue, and Digital Life Business.
48GF Score
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