Gala Technology Holding (HKSE:02458) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Aug. 08, 2026)

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HKSE:02458 Gala Technology Holding Ltd HKSE:02458
91 GF Score
Price HK$6.66
GF Value HK$6.68
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Gala Technology Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Gala Technology Holding HKSE:02458 +0.30% 91 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Aug. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:02458 with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$6.68 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Gala Technology Holding  (HKSE:02458) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Gala Technology Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


HKSE:02458 vs NTES, EA, TTWO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia subindustry, Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gala Technology Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:02458
91GF Score
Gala Technology Holding Ltd HKSE:02458
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Gala Technology Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.45

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Gala Technology Holding (HKSE:02458) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Aug. 08, 2026.
Is Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Gala Technology Holding's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Gala Technology Holding has a GF Score™ of 91/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NTES and EA?
Gala Technology Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Interactive Media industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Interactive Media company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Interactive Media industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Gala Technology Holding's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Gala Technology Holding stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Gala Technology Holding (HKSE:02458) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$6.68, compared to a current price of HK$6.66 — trading 0.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Gala Technology Holding's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Gala Technology Holding (HKSE:02458), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Aug. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Gala Technology Holding (HKSE:02458) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Gala Technology Holding stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of HK$6.66 is trading 0.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of HK$6.68. GuruFocus considers Gala Technology Holding to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:02458:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: HK$6.68 vs. price of HK$6.66 (0.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:02458 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Gala Technology Holding Business Description

Address 66 Shuniu Street, 15th Floor, Qianhai CTF Finance Tower, Qianhai Shenzhen-Hong Kong Cooperation Zone, Nanshan Subdistrict, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN
Gala Technology Holding Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, it is mainly engaged in the mobile sports game development, publishing, and operation in the People's Republic of China. Its portfolio of games mainly covers mainstream sports categories, namely football, basketball, and baseball, including Football Master, NBA Basketball Master, Total Football, Football Champion, Clutch Hit Baseball, and NBA Rivals. These sports games rely on licensing resources from international sports leagues and clubs. The Group derives revenue from self-development games through various arrangements, including games published through its platforms or third-party distribution channels, and games published by other third-party game publishers under game distribution arrangements.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:02458

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$6.66
Price
HK$6.68
GF Value