Wise Ally International Holdings (HKSE:09918) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.11% (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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HKSE:09918 Wise Ally International Holdings Ltd HKSE:09918
57 GF Score
Price HK$0.99
GF Value HK$0.47
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Wise Ally International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Wise Ally International Holdings HKSE:09918 57 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11% as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates HKSE:09918 with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of HK$0.47 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wise Ally International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wise Ally International Holdings  (HKSE:09918) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Wise Ally International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


HKSE:09918 vs APH, GLW, TEL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Wise Ally International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Wise Ally International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Wise Ally International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Wise Ally International Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HKSE:09918
57GF Score
Wise Ally International Holdings Ltd HKSE:09918
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Wise Ally International Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% mean?
Wise Ally International Holdings (HKSE:09918) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% as of Aug. 29, 2026.
Is Wise Ally International Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Wise Ally International Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. Overall, Wise Ally International Holdings has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Wise Ally International Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to APH and GLW?
Wise Ally International Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Wise Ally International Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Wise Ally International Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wise Ally International Holdings (HKSE:09918) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is HK$0.47, compared to a current price of HK$0.99 — trading 110.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. Wise Ally International Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Wise Ally International Holdings (HKSE:09918), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11% as of Aug. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Wise Ally International Holdings (HKSE:09918) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wise Ally International Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of HK$0.99 is trading 110.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of HK$0.47. GuruFocus considers Wise Ally International Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HKSE:09918:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.11%
  • GF Value™: HK$0.47 vs. price of HK$0.99 (110.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HKSE:09918 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Wise Ally International Holdings Business Description

Address Enterprise Square Five, 38 Wang Chiu Road, Units 3203-3207, Tower 1, Kowloon Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
Wise Ally International Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company and the company is principally engaged in the manufacturing and sales of electronic products. The group is a reputable provider of Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS), delivering comprehensive end-to-end solutions to customers. Its services include design development and enhancement, Supply chain management, Contract Manufacturing & Lean Production Management, Clean Room Facility, Total Quality Management, Connected Solutions. The group has one reportable operating segment. The company has presence in United States, Philippines, Chinese Mainland, Ireland, Switzerland, Germany, Malaysia, Singapore, Belgium, United Kingdom, and Others.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HKSE:09918

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

HK$0.99
Price
HK$0.47
GF Value