PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk (ISX:BHIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.11% (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ISX:BHIT PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk ISX:BHIT
66 GF Score
Price Rp25.00
GF Value Rp37.29
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk ISX:BHIT -3.85% 66 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:BHIT with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp37.29 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk  (ISX:BHIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ISX:BHIT vs NFLX, DIS, WBD: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ISX:BHIT
66GF Score
PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk ISX:BHIT
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% mean?
PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk (ISX:BHIT) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% as of Jul. 14, 2026.
Is PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. Overall, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to NFLX and DIS?
PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.11% can be compared against companies in the Media - Diversified industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk (ISX:BHIT) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp37.29, compared to a current price of Rp25.00 — trading 33% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%. PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk (ISX:BHIT), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk (ISX:BHIT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp25.00 is trading 33% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp37.29. GuruFocus considers PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ISX:BHIT:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.11%
  • GF Value™: Rp37.29 vs. price of Rp25.00 (33% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:BHIT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Kebon Sirih Timur Kav. 21-27, MNC Bank Tower, MNC Center, 21st Floor, RT.15/RW.7, Kota Jakarta Pusat, Gambir, Kec. Menteng, Daerah Khusus Ibukota Jakarta, Jakarta, IDN, 10340
PT MNC Asia Holding Tbk is an integrated investment group with a strategic portfolio across the media and entertainment, financial services, and tourism and hospitality sectors. The Group's operating segments are: Financing and securities, Bank financial institution, Advertising and content, Pay TV and Broadband, Mining, and Others. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Advertising and content segment, which represents income generated from the Group's advertising and content-based media businesses, including direct-to-home pay TV services, operation of media networks, content production and distribution, and offering digital and OTT streaming services, among other related business activities.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:BHIT

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp25.00
Price
Rp37.29
GF Value