Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (ISX:BLTA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Marine Shipping subindustry, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.29
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% mean?
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (ISX:BLTA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Overall, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Transportation company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (ISX:BLTA) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp35.81, compared to a current price of Rp32.00 — trading 10.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (ISX:BLTA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk (ISX:BLTA) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of Rp32.00 is trading 10.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp35.81.
GuruFocus considers PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ISX:BLTA:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07%
GF Value™: Rp35.81 vs. price of Rp32.00 (10.6% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:BLTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
PT Berlian Laju Tanker Tbk is a company that is involved in the business of maritime transportation of liquid and gas bulk cargo. The company's business activity is to provide the service of chartering out of cargo space in its vessels to third parties to transport liquid cargo. The company has three reportable segments: the chemical tankers segment, which is the key revenue driver, provides maritime transportation of liquid chemical and vegetable oil and animal fats; the gas tankers segment provides maritime transportation of liquefied gas such as LPG, propylene, propane, and LNG and the others segments include manning and ship management. The company operates in two geographical areas, namely Malaysia and Indonesia.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ISX:BLTA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
ISX:BLTA has been successfully added to your 