PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (ISX:UNIC) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ISX:UNIC PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk ISX:UNIC
73 GF Score
Price Rp12,325.00
GF Value Rp10,103.18
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk ISX:UNIC +4.76% 73 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ISX:UNIC with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp10,103.18 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk  (ISX:UNIC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ISX:UNIC vs DOW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ISX:UNIC
73GF Score
PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk ISX:UNIC
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.01

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (ISX:UNIC) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to DOW?
PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Chemicals company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (ISX:UNIC) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp10,103.18, compared to a current price of Rp12,325.00 — trading 22% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (ISX:UNIC), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk (ISX:UNIC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of Rp12,325.00 is trading 22% above its estimated GF Value™ of Rp10,103.18. GuruFocus considers PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:UNIC:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: Rp10,103.18 vs. price of Rp12,325.00 (22% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:UNIC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk Business Description

Address Jl Jenderal Gatot Subroto Kav. 6-7, Wisma UIC 2nd floor, Jakarta Selatan, Jakarta, IDN, 12930
PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk is engaged in the manufacturing of alkylbenzene chemicals, which are the main raw material for the production of detergents. It offers linear alkylbenzene and branched alkylbenzene. The company also produces heavy alkylate and light alkylate as its byproducts. Its business activities are other organic basic chemical industries; activities of warehouse and storage; trading of various goods; real estate that is owned or leased; and motorized transportation for public goods. It operates in two segments: Chemicals and Real Estate, of which the majority of its revenue gets derived from the Chemicals segment. The company exports its products, but it derives its revenue from Indonesia.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:UNIC

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp12,325.00
Price
Rp10,103.18
GF Value