JXN (Jackson Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


JXN Jackson Financial Inc JXN
75 GF Score
Price $106.74
GF Value $156.64
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Jackson Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Jackson Financial JXN +0.28% 75 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates JXN with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $156.64 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Jackson Financial  (NYSE:JXN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Jackson Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


JXN vs LNC, PRI, CNO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jackson Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


JXN
75GF Score
Jackson Financial Inc JXN
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Jackson Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% mean?
Jackson Financial (JXN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Jackson Financial's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Overall, Jackson Financial has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LNC and PRI?
Jackson Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Insurance company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Jackson Financial's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jackson Financial stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jackson Financial (JXN) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $156.64, compared to a current price of $106.74 — trading 31.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Jackson Financial's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jackson Financial (JXN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Jackson Financial (JXN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jackson Financial stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $106.74 is trading 31.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $156.64. GuruFocus considers Jackson Financial to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for JXN:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07%
  • GF Value™: $156.64 vs. price of $106.74 (31.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the JXN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Jackson Financial Business Description

Other Exchanges 0JKF:UK8WF:Germany
Address 1 Corporate Way, Lansing, MI, USA, 48951
Jackson Financial Inc helps Americans grow and protect their retirement savings and income to enable them to pursue financial freedom for life. Its retail product offerings are comprised of annuities, designed to help retail investors save for and live in retirement. Its diverse suite of annuities includes a variable, fixed index, and fixed annuities. The company manages its business through three segments: Retail Annuities, Institutional Products, and Closed Life and Annuity Blocks and Corporate and Other segments. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Retail Annuities segment, which offers a variety of retirement income and savings products of variable annuities, registered index-linked annuities ("RILA"), fixed index annuities, fixed annuities, and payout annuities.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JXN

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$106.74
Price
$156.64
GF Value