First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC (KUW:FTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

KUW:FTI First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC KUW:FTI
16 GF Score
Price KWD0.21
GF Value KWD0.18
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC KUW:FTI 16 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates KUW:FTI with a GF Score™ of 16/100 and a GF Value™ of KWD0.18 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC  (KUW:FTI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


KUW:FTI vs BRK.A, AIG, HIG: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Insurance - Diversified subindustry, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


KUW:FTI
16GF Score
First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC KUW:FTI
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC (KUW:FTI) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jul. 24, 2026.
Is First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC has a GF Score™ of 16/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to BRK.A and AIG?
First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Insurance industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Insurance company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Insurance industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC (KUW:FTI) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is KWD0.18, compared to a current price of KWD0.21 — trading 16.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC's overall GF Score™ is 16/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC (KUW:FTI), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC (KUW:FTI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of KWD0.21 is trading 16.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of KWD0.18. GuruFocus considers First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for KUW:FTI:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: KWD0.18 vs. price of KWD0.21 (16.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 16/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the KUW:FTI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC Business Description

Address Al Qibla - Abdullah Al-Mubarak Street, 1st Floor, Office No. 6, P.O. Box 5713, Souq Al-Safat Building, Kuwait, KWT, 13058
First Takaful Insurance Co KCSC is engaged in carrying out all types of insurance takaful activities and related activities, including insurance and reinsurance, and investing the funds available to the company in various activities. The company's product line consists of life and medical, fire and general accidents, motor, marine, and aviation. Geographically, the company provides its services only to the Kuwait market.
16GF Score

Get the complete analysis for KUW:FTI

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

KWD0.21
Price
KWD0.18
GF Value