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LEEN (Leopard Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 16.48% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Leopard Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 16.48%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leopard Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Leopard Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.62

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=16.48%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Leopard Energy  (OTCPK:LEEN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Leopard Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Leopard Energy Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Leopard Energy Inc (OTCPK:LEEN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Via Tomaso Rodari 6, Lugano, CHE, 6900
Leopard Energy Inc is focused on acquiring energy production and development opportunities in the United States. It holds a royalty interest in a package of seven oil producing wells located in the Eagle Ford Shale, Lavaca County, Texas.
Executives
Zenith Energy Ltd 10 percent owner SUITE 2400, 745 THURLOW STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6E 0C5
Luca Benedetto director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Treasurer 6, VIA RODARI, LUGANO V8 CH-6900
Ippolito Cattaneo director, officer: Secretary 6, VIA RODARI, LUGANO V8 CH-6900
Dario Sodero director, 10 percent owner BOX 9, SITE 3, R.R. 2,, OKOTOKS A0 T1S 1A2
Ayaz Kassam officer: President 1801 LAKE SHORE WEST UNIT 8, BOX 52813, MISSISSAUGA A6 L5J4S0
Holly Roseberry director, officer: CEO C/O WHISTLER INVESTMENT INC, 5001 E BONANZA DR STE. 144-145, LAS VEGAS NV 89110
Hybrid Technologies Inc. 10 percent owner 4894 LONE MOUNTAIN # 168, LAS VEGAS NV 89130
Chen Jason Wu director, officer: President & CEO
Udaya Madanayake director, officer: CFO & Treasurer 1532 MANNING AVENUE, PORT COQUITLAM A1 V3B 1K5
Tony Castro director, officer: Secretary 1402 SHARPEWOOD PLACE, COQUITLAM A1 V3E 2W6

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