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Mitek Systems (Mitek Systems) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Mitek Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mitek Systems's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mitek Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mitek Systems  (NAS:MITK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mitek Systems Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mitek Systems (Mitek Systems) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Mitek Systems Inc (NAS:MITK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
600 B Street, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92101
Mitek Systems Inc is engaged in the development, sale, and service of proprietary software solutions related to mobile imaging. The firm is a software development company with expertise in artificial intelligence, and machine learning. It is serving more than 7,800 financial services organizations and leading marketplace and financial technology brands across the globe. Mitek's Mobile Deposit solution is used by consumers for mobile check deposits. The company's Mobile Verify verifies a user's identity online enabling organizations to build safer digital communities, whereas CheckReader enables financial institutions to automatically extract data from a check image received across any deposit channel - branch, ATM, RDC, and mobile.
Executives
Christopher H Briggs other: SVP Identity 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Michael E Diamond other: General Manager 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Scipio Maximus Carnecchia director, officer: CEO & Director C/O MITEK SYSTEMS, INC., 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Fuad Ahmad officer: Interim CFO 461 SOUTH MILPITAS BLVD., MILPITAS CA 95035
Frank Teruel officer: CFO 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Stephen Ritter officer: Chief Technology Officer 600 B STREET SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Jason Gray officer: GC, Secretary & Admin Officer 600 B STREET SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Scott Adam Marcus officer: General Counsel 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Rahul Gupta director 255 FISERV DRIVE, BROOKFIELD WI 53045
Susan Repo director 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Scott R Carter director 8911 BALBOA AVENUE, SUITE B, SAN DIEGO CA 92123
William K Aulet director 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Jeffrey C Davison officer: Chief Financial Officer 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101
Jane J. Thompson director 628 GREEN VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 500, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Alex W Hart director 600 B STREET, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92101