GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Marqeta Inc (NAS:MQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Marqeta (Marqeta) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Marqeta Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Marqeta Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Marqeta  (NAS:MQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Marqeta Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marqeta's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marqeta (Marqeta) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Marqeta Inc (NAS:MQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
180 Grand Avenue, 6th Floor, Oakland, CA, USA, 94612
Headquartered in Oakland, California, and founded in 2010, Marqeta provides its clients with a card-issuing platform that offers the infrastructure and tools necessary to offer digital, physical, and tokenized payment options without the need for a traditional bank. The company's open APIs are designed to allow third parties like DoorDash, Klarna, and Block to rapidly develop and deploy innovative card-based products and payment services without the need to develop the underlying technology. The company generates revenue primarily through processing and ATM fees for cards issued on its platform.
Executives
Randall F. Kern officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O MARQETA, INC., 180 GRAND AVE., FLR 6, OAKLAND CA 94612
Godfrey Sullivan director SPLUNK INC., 250 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Judson C Linville director 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Martha Cummings director C/O MARQETA, INC., 180 GRAND AVE., FLR 6, OAKLAND CA 94612
Najuma Atkinson director C/O HASBRO, INC., 1011 NEWPORT AVE, PAWTUCKET RI 02861
Crystal Sumner officer: See Remarks 415 KEARNY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94108
Todd Pollak officer: Chief Revenue Officer 180 GRAND AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, OAKLAND CA 94612
Simon Khalaf director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 180 GRAND AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, OAKLAND CA 94612
Srikiran Prasad director 180 GRAND AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, OAKLAND CA 94612
Seth R Weissman officer: See Remarks 3055 CLEARVIEW WAY, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Michael Milotich officer: Chief Financial Officer 180 GRAND AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, OAKLAND CA 94612
83north Ii Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 10 ABBA EBAN BOULEVARD, BUILDING C, 9TH FLOOR, HERZLIYA PITUACH L3 46733
Iconiq Strategic Partners Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 394 PACIFIC AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Vidya Peters officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O MARQETA, INC., 180 GRAND AVE., FLR 6, OAKLAND CA 94612
Amy Chang director 2100 SEAPORT BLVD., C/O INFORMATICA CORPORATION, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063