>
Switch to:

Biogen Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.06% (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1991. Start your Free Trial

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Biogen's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Biogen's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Biogen Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Biogen's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biogen's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Biogen Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.47

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Biogen  (NAS:BIIB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biogen Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Biogen's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Biogen Business Description

Biogen logo
Industry
Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Address
225 Binney Street, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142
Biogen and Idec merged in 2003, combining forces to market Biogen's multiple sclerosis drug Avonex and Idec's cancer drug Rituxan. Today, Rituxan and next-generation antibody Gazyva are marketed via a collaboration with Roche. Biogen also markets novel MS drugs Plegridy, Tysabri, Tecfidera, and Vumerity. In Japan, Biogen's MS portfolio is co-promoted by Eisai. Hemophilia therapies Eloctate and Alprolix (partnered with SOBI) were spun off as part of Bioverativ in 2017. Biogen has several drug candidates in phase 3 trials in neurology and neurodegenerative diseases and has launched Spinraza with partner Ionis. Aduhelm was approved as the firm's first Alzheimer's disease therapy in June 2021.
Executives
Mcdonnell Michael R officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O IQVIA HOLDINGS INC. 83 WOOSTER HEIGHTS ROAD DANBURY CT 06810
Gregory Ginger officer: EVP, Human Resources C/O BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Kramer Robin officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 999 VANDERBILT BEACH ROAD 3RD FLOOR NAPLES FL 34109
Sherwin Stephen A director C/O CELL GENESYS, INC. 500 FORBES BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Hawkins William A director MEDTRONIC INC 710 MEDTRONIC PKWY, MS LC310 MINNEAPOLIS MN 55432-5604
Dorsa Caroline director BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Papadopoulos Stelios director 3 SOMERSET DRIVE SOUTH GREAT NECK NY 11020
Pangia Robert W director 3965 FREEDOM CIRCLE SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Leaming Nancy director C/O HOLOGIC INC BEDFORD MA 01730
Rowinsky Eric K director IMCLONE SYSTEMS INCORPORATED 180 VARICK STREET, 6TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10014
Denner Alexander J director C/O SARISSA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR GREENWICH CT 06830
Posner Brian S director 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Mulligan Richard director C/O ICAHN CAPITAL LP 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4700 NEW YORK NY 10153
Mantas Jesus B director BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY STREET CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Galdes Alphonse officer: EVP Pharmaceutical Oper & Tech BIOGEN INC. 225 BINNEY ST. CAMBRIDGE MA 02142

Biogen Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)