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Huron Consulting Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.07% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Huron Consulting Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Huron Consulting Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Huron Consulting Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Huron Consulting Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Huron Consulting Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Huron Consulting Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.28

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Huron Consulting Group  (NAS:HURN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Huron Consulting Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Huron Consulting Group Business Description

Huron Consulting Group logo
Industry
Industrials » Business Services NAICS : 541611 SIC : 8742
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
550 West Van Buren Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
Huron Consulting Group Inc is a professional services firm. The company provides expertise in strategy, technology, operations, advisory services, & analytics through three operating segments namely Healthcare, Education, and Business Advisory. Healthcare segment helps the firms to transform and innovate the delivery model to focus on patient wellness by improving quality outcomes, minimizing care variation and fundamentally improving patient and population health, Education segment provides management consulting and technology solutions, and Business Advisory segment provides services to large and middle-market organizations, not-for-profit organizations, and private equity firms. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Healthcare Segment.
Executives
Zumwalt Debra director 149 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE MENLO PARK CA 94025
Roth James H director, officer: CEO HURON CONSULTING GROUP 550 WEST VAN BUREN STREET CHICAGO IL 60607
Hussey C. Mark officer: President and COO 550 WEST VAN BUREN STREET CHICAGO IL 60607
Mccartney John director US ROBOTICS INC 8100 MCCORMICK BLVD SKOKIE IL 60076
Featherstone Kyle officer: Controller 550 W. VAN BUREN 17TH FLOOR CHICAGO IL 60607
Lockhart H Eugene director OAK HILL FARM, P.O. BOX 489 4125 LOUISA ROAD KESWICK VA 22947
Sawyer Hugh E Iii director 1806 BALLY BUNION DRIVE DECATUR GA 30097
Singh-bushell Ekta director 9197 S. PEORIA ST. ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Torain Ernest W. Jr. officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp.Sec. 550 W. VAN BUREN 17TH FLOOR CHICAGO IL 60607
Massaro George director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: MASSARO GEORGE a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Kelly John D. officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer 555 WEST VAN BUREN STREET CHICAGO IL 60607
Wong Ellen officer: Chief Accounting Officer 550 WEST VAN BUREN STREET CHICAGO IL 60607
Ratekin Diane E. officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel, & Corp.Sec. 550 WEST VAN BUREN STREET CHICAGO IL 60607
Moody John S director MARSH MCLENNAN REALTY ADVISORS 1166 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Edwards James D director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EDWARDS JAMES D a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

Huron Consulting Group Headlines

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