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Illumina Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.24% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Illumina's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.24%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Illumina's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Illumina Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Illumina's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Illumina's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Illumina Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.24%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Illumina  (NAS:ILMN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Illumina Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Illumina's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Illumina Business Description

Illumina logo
Industry
Address
5200 Illumina Way, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
Illumina provides tools and services to analyze genetic material with life science and clinical lab applications. The company generates revenue from sequencing tools and dedicated consumables (76% of 2020 sales). Illumina's high-throughput technology enables whole genome sequencing in humans and other large organisms. Its lower throughput tools enable applications that require smaller data outputs, such as viral and cancer tumor screening. Illumina also sells microarrays (9% of sales) that enable lower-cost, focused genetic screening with primarily consumer and agricultural applications. Services account for 16% of sales and include basic maintenance services, clinical lab applications (such as noninvasive prenatal, oncology, and rare-disease screening), and whole genome sequencing.
Executives
Flatley Jay T director 9885 TOWNE CENTRE DR SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Tousi Susan H officer: SVP Product Development 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Reeves Kathryne Gambrell officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Goswami Joydeep officer: SVP Corp Business Development SUMITOMO FUDOSAN MITA TWIN BLDG EAST WING 4-2-8 SHIBAURA MINATO-KU TOKYO M0 1080023
Dadswell Charles officer: SVP & General Counsel 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Desouza Francis A director, officer: President and CEO 350 ELLIS STREET MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Van Oene Mark officer: SVP Chief Commercial Officer 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Ragusa Robert P officer: SVP, Global Quality & Ops PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: RAGUSA ROBERT P a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Mcginnis Karen K officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer INSIGHT ENTERPRISES INC 1305 WEST AUTO DRIVE TEMPE AZ 85284
Hoyt Aimee L officer: SVP, Chief People Officer 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Ronaghi Mostafa officer: SVP, Entrepreneurial Devlopmt 9885 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Aravanis Alexander officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer 5200 ILLUMINA WAY SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Siegel Susan E director 3000 SAND HILL ROAD BLDG 3 STE 290 MENLO PARK CA 94025
Thompson John Wendell director C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION ONE MICROSOFT WAY REDMOND WA 98053
Epstein Robert S director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: EPSTEIN ROBERT S a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}

Illumina Headlines

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