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Orgenesis Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 4.55% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Orgenesis's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 4.55%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Orgenesis's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Orgenesis Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Orgenesis's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orgenesis's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Orgenesis Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=4.55%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Orgenesis  (NAS:ORGS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Orgenesis Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Orgenesis's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Orgenesis Business Description

Orgenesis logo
Industry
Healthcare » Biotechnology NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20271 Goldenrod Lane, Germantown, MD, USA, 20876
Orgenesis Inc is a part of the healthcare sector. It is a fully-integrated biopharmaceutical company focused on developing trans-differentiation technologies for diabetes and vertically integrating manufacturing that can optimize its abilities to scale-up its technologies for clinical trials and eventual commercialization. The group operates in two segments namely CDMO and POC. The company is also engaged in applying its disciplined execution to emerging technologies of other cell therapy markets in such areas as cell-based cancer immunotherapies and neurodegenerative diseases.
Executives
Sidransky David director JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY 720 RUTLAND AVENUE BALTIMORE MD 21205
Reithinger Neil officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 14950 N. 83RD PLACE SUITE 1 SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Philips Mario director C/O ATMI, INC DANBURY CT 06810
Ferber Sarah officer: Chief Scientific Officer 17B HAHASKALA STREET TEL AVIV L3 67890
Yachin Guy director 7 ORCHARD WAY N POTOMAC MD 20854
Nanda Ashish director 2301, 23RD FLOOR, TIFFANY TOWERS CLUSTER W, JLT, DUBAI, UAE DUBAI C0 4452
Bedoret Denis officer: See Remarks 48, RUE AUGUSTE PICCARD GOSSELIES C9 6041
Universite Libre De Bruxelles other: less than 10% AVENUE F, ROOSEVELT, 50 BRUSSELS C9 1050
Theodorus Ii Sa other: less than 10% ALLEE DE LA RECHERCHE, 12 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Theodorus Sca other: less than 10% ALLEE DE LA RECHERCHE, 12 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Belenger Olivier other: less than 10% DIEWEG, 69 BRUSSELS C9 1070
Shvartz Oded 10 percent owner 130 BIRUINTEI BVD. PANTELIMON, ILFOV S5 0000000
Bultot Hugues director AVENUE DE L??HORIZON 24 WOLUWE SAINT PIERRE C9 1150
Buyse Chris Georges Frans director BAILLET LATOURLEI 119A BRUSSELS C9 2390
Tenne Joseph officer: CFO Treasurer Secretary 6225 NEIL ROAD, SUITE 300 C/O ORMAT TECHNOLOGIES, INC. RENO NV 89511

Orgenesis Headlines

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