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NewtekOne (NewtekOne) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Jul. 15, 2024)


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What is NewtekOne Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NewtekOne's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



NewtekOne Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


NewtekOne  (NAS:NEWT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


NewtekOne Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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NewtekOne (NewtekOne) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » NewtekOne Inc (NAS:NEWT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4800 T Rex Avenue, Suite 120, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
NewtekOne Inc is a financial holding company engaged in providing financial solutions, It has developed a financial and technology-based business model that enables itself to acquire and process its clients in a very cost-effective manner. This capability is supported in large part by NewTracker, its patented prospect management technology software, that will allow NewtekOne clients to easily interact with NewtekOne subject matter experts in the areas of Banking, Lending, Payments, Technology, Payroll, and Insurance. It offers NewtekOne's clients a single online dashboard to access all of NewtekOne's business and financial solutions.
Executives
Salvatore Francis Mulia director 4 WHITNEY STREET EXTENSION, WESTPORT CT 06880
Barry Sloane director, officer: CEO and President
Richard J Salute director P O BOX 306, WOODBURY NY 11797
Gregory L Zink director 1981 MARCUS AVENUE, SUITE 130, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Peter Mathison Downs director 1440 PINEACRES BLVD, BAY SHORE NY 11706
Michael Scott Price officer: Chief Financial Officer 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Fernando Perez-hickman director 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Nicholas J Leger officer: Chief Accounting Officer 348 ALFRED STREET, NORTH BABYLON NY 11703
Michael Adam Schwartz officer: Chief Legal Officer, Secretary C/O NEWTEK BUSINESS SERVICES INC, 462 SEVENTH AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Halli Razon-feingold director 4800 T-REX AVENUE, SUITE 120, BOCA RATON FL 33019
Nicolas Young officer: Chief Risk Officer 200 WEST CONGRESS STREET, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Christopher Towers officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1981 MARCUS AVENUE, SUITE 130, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Sam Kirschner director 60 EAST 8TH STREET, #20K, NEW YORK NY 10003
Nilesh Joshi officer: Chief Information Officer 5617 W. MOLLY LANE, PHOENIX AZ 85083
John Raven officer: Chief Info. Security Officer