Time People Group AB (NGM:TPGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 20.84% (As of Jul. 01, 2026)


NGM:TPGR Time People Group AB NGM:TPGR
47 GF Score
Price kr0.71
GF Value kr4.12
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Time People Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Time People Group AB NGM:TPGR +27.93% 47 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84% as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates NGM:TPGR with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of kr4.12 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Time People Group AB  (NGM:TPGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Time People Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


NGM:TPGR vs IBM, ACN, FISV: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Time People Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


NGM:TPGR
47GF Score
Time People Group AB NGM:TPGR
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Time People Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.33

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=20.84%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 20.84% mean?
Time People Group AB (NGM:TPGR) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 20.84% as of Jul. 01, 2026.
Is Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Time People Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84%. Overall, Time People Group AB has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to IBM and ACN?
Time People Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 20.84% can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Software company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Software industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Time People Group AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Time People Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Time People Group AB (NGM:TPGR) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr4.12, compared to a current price of kr0.71 — trading 82.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84%. Time People Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Time People Group AB (NGM:TPGR), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.84% as of Jul. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Time People Group AB (NGM:TPGR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Time People Group AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr0.71 is trading 82.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr4.12. GuruFocus considers Time People Group AB to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NGM:TPGR:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 20.84%
  • GF Value™: kr4.12 vs. price of kr0.71 (82.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGM:TPGR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Time People Group AB Business Description

Address Kungsgatan 62, Stockholm, SWE, 111 22
Time People Group AB conducts consulting activities in Stockholm. It offers services that cover the entire chain from plan, change and project management, programs, and system and method development, to test engagement and management. The group operates under its own brands with a clear focus and expertise in IT and Management.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGM:TPGR

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr0.71
Price
kr4.12
GF Value