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IndusInd Bank (NSE:INDUSINDBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is IndusInd Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IndusInd Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



IndusInd Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.43

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


IndusInd Bank  (NSE:INDUSINDBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


IndusInd Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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IndusInd Bank (NSE:INDUSINDBK) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
841, Senapati Bapat Marg, 8th Floor, Tower 1, One World Centre, Prabhadevi (West), Mumbai, MH, IND, 400013
IndusInd Bank Ltd is a full-service banking group operating in India. Its services include consumer banking, credit cards, consumer finance, corporate banking, commercial banking, global markets, transaction banking, priority sector lending, risk management, and financial restructuring and reconstruction. The Bank operates in four business segments, viz. Treasury, Corporate/ Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking and Other Banking Operations. The Bank generates majority of the revenue from Retail Banking segment. The bank's strategic focus has been to maintain its high-street brand, and it has adopted various initiatives to increase the brand's visibility through digital marketing and increased financial technology. Most of its loan book is in term loans entirely exposed to India.

IndusInd Bank (NSE:INDUSINDBK) Headlines

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