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Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.17

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Cash and cash equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund  (NYSE:BSL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund Business Description

Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund logo
Industry
Financial Services » Asset Management NAICS : 523991 SIC : 6733
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
345 Park Avenue, 31st Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10154
Blackstone Senior Floating Rate Term Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its primary investment objective is to seek high current income, with a secondary objective to seek preservation of capital, consistent with its primary goal of high current income. The fund invests at least 80% of its Managed Assets in senior, secured floating rate loans. It also invests in second-lien loans and high yield bonds and employs financial leverage, which may increase the risk to the Fund.
Executives
Post Robert other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO/BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT, LLC 345 PARK AVE 31ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10154
Busch Robert W officer: CFO & Treasurer 345 PARK AVENUE, 31ST FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10154
Zable Robert officer: Executive Vice President, other: Asst. Secretary & PM 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Mckemie Gordon other: Portfolio Manager C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Smith Daniel Harlan Jr. officer: CEO, President, other: Trustee, Chairman 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Lee-silvestri Dohyun (doris) officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 345 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10154
Lee Jane officer: Public Relations Officer 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 CO 80203
Beeney Marisa Janel officer: CCO, Chief Legal Counsel, Sec. 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Schpero Gary S other: Trustee 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Shaiman Lee Michael officer: Exec. VP, Assistant Secretary 1290 BROADWAY SUITE 1100 DENVER CO 80203
Metropolitan Life Insurance Co/ny 10 percent owner 200 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10166
Holland Michael F other: Trustee PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: HOLLAND MICHAEL F a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Rosenberg Eric officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP 280 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10017
Dalelio Edward H other: Trustee 1000 BOARDWALK AT VIRGINIA AVENUE ATLANTIC CITY NJ 08401
Paolillo Douglas other: Mng. Dir.of Investment Advisor C/O GSO BLACKSTONE DEBT FUNDS MGMT LLC 280 PARK AVENUE NEW YORK NY 10017
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