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IDEX Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, IDEX's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, IDEX's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

IDEX Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, IDEX's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where IDEX's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



IDEX Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.05

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


IDEX  (NYSE:IEX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


IDEX Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of IDEX's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


IDEX Business Description

IDEX logo
Industry
Industrials » Industrial Products NAICS : 333249 SIC : 3561
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3100 Sanders Road, Suite 301, Northbrook, Chicago, IL, USA, 60062
Idex manufactures pumps, flow meters, valves, and fluidic systems for customers in a variety of end markets, including industrial, fire & safety, life science, and water. The firm's business is organized into three segments: fluid & metering technologies, health & science technologies, and fire & safety and diversified products. Based in Lake Forest, Illinois, Idex has manufacturing operations in over 20 countries and has over 7,000 employees. The company generated $2.4 billion in revenue and $537 million in adjusted operating income in 2020.
Executives
Yates Michael J officer: VP-Chief Accounting Officer 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Silvernail Andrew K director, officer: Chairman and CEO 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Bucklew Jeffrey D officer: SVP-Chief HR Officer 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Ashleman Eric D officer: President and COO 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Cade Denise R officer: SVP-General Counsel & Corp Sec 1011 WARRENVILLE ROAD SUITE 600 LISLE IL 60532
Salliotte Daniel J officer: SVP - MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Mrozek Ernest J director SERVICE MASTER 2300 WARRENVILLE ROAD DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Cook William M director 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Satterthwaite Livingston director 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Christenson Carl R director C/O ALTRA INDUSTRIAL MOTION INC. 300 GRANITE STREET BRAINTREE MA 02184
Helmkamp Katrina L director 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Parry David C director 155 HARLEM AVE. GLENVIEW IL 60025
Beck Mark A director 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW SUITE 800W WASHINGTON DC 20037
Warner Cynthia J director 1925 WEST FIELD COURT SUITE 200 LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Buthman Mark A director P O BOX 619100 DALLAS TX 752619100

IDEX Headlines

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