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Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.34% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.34%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.68

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.34%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Select Medical Holdings  (NYSE:SEM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Select Medical Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Select Medical Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Select Medical Holdings Business Description

Select Medical Holdings logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4714 Gettysburg Road, P.O. Box 2034, Mechanicsburg, PA, USA, 17055
Select Medical Holdings Corp is a healthcare company that operates through four main segments: critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and Concentra institutions. Critical illness recovery hospitals and rehabilitation centers are designed for patients requiring extended recovery time with medical services. These two sectors combined compose roughly half of the total revenue and include over 100 critical illness recovery hospitals and inpatient rehab facilities. The outpatient rehabilitation segment includes over 1,700 rehabilitation clinics. The Concentra segment includes over 500 institutions. The company is headquartered in Pennsylvania, and it operates across the United States.
Executives
Ortenzio Rocco A director, officer: Vice Chairman and Co-Founder SELECT MEDICAL CORP 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG RD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Romberger Scott A officer: Senior Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Tarvin Michael E officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Saich John A. officer: Executive Vice President C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Chernow David S officer: President and CEO C/O JUNIOR ACHIEVEMENT INC ONE EDUCATION WAY COLORADO SPRINGS CO 80906
Jackson Martin F officer: Executive Vice President 4716 OLD GETTYSBURG ROAD PO BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Thomas Daniel director C/O SELECT MEDICAL CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD P.O. BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 17055
Cressey Bryan C director C/O CLARION TECHNOLOGIES INC 235 CENTRAL AVE HOLLAND MI 49423
Scully Thomas director 320 PARK AVENUE, SUITE # 2500 NEW YORK NM 10022
Carson Russell L director 320 PARK AVENUE STE 2500 NEW YORK NY 10022
Frist William H. director 600 MONTGOMERY STREET SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Ely James S. Iii director 4000 MERIDIAN BLVD FRANKLIN TN 37067
Ortenzio Robert A director, officer: Exec. Chairman and Co-Founder 4718 OLD GETTYSBURG RD POST OFFICE BOX 2034 MECHANICSBURG PA 30309
Tavenner Marilyn B director BOULDERS III 7800 BEAUFORT SPRING DR RICHMOND VA 23235
Breighner Robert G. Jr officer: Vice President, Compliance C/O SELECT MEDICAL HOLDINGS CORPORATION 4714 GETTYSBURG ROAD MACHANICSBURG PA 17055

Select Medical Holdings Headlines

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