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Westlake Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.03% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Westlake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Westlake's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Westlake Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Westlake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Westlake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Westlake Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.08

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Westlake  (NYSE:WLK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Westlake Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Westlake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Westlake Business Description

Westlake logo
Industry
Basic Materials » Chemicals NAICS : 325110 SIC : 2869
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2801 Post Oak Boulevard, Suite 600, Houston, TX, USA, 77056
Westlake Corp is a manufacturer and global supplier of chemicals, polymers and building products. Its Performance & Essential Materials segment offers a wide range of essential building blocks for making products utilized in everyday living, including olefins, vinyl chemicals, polyethylene, and epoxies. Its Housing & Infrastructure Products segment produces key finished goods for building products, pipe & fittings, and global compounds businesses.
Executives
Sheets Jeffrey Wayne director 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD HOUSTON TX 77079
Chao John Tsung-chen director, 10 percent owner 26 GRAMERCY PARK SOUTH, 7EF NEW YORK NY 10003
Chao David Tsung-hung director, 10 percent owner 1000 UPTOWN PARK BLVD. #34 HOUSTON TX 77056
Haas Marius director ONE DELL WAY ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Graff Michael J director 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Northcutt R Bruce director 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Jenkins Dorothy C director, 10 percent owner 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Lubel Kimberly S director P.O. BOX 696000 SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Mccollum Mark A director 3000 NORTH SAM HOUSTON PARKWAY E. HOUSTON TX 77002
Kearns Roger L. officer: EVP, Vinyls Chemicals 2801 POST OAK BLVD. HOUSTON TX 77056
Zoeller Johnathan Stevan officer: VP and CAO 2801 POST OAK BLVD. SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Ttwfgp Llc 10 percent owner 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Chao Albert director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Kenner Andrew officer: SVP - Chemical Manufacturing 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056
Bender Mark Steven officer: EVP and CFO 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600 HOUSTON TX 77056

Westlake Headlines

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