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Creek Road Miners Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.06% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Creek Road Miners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Creek Road Miners's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Creek Road Miners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Creek Road Miners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Creek Road Miners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Creek Road Miners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.49

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Creek Road Miners  (OTCPK:CRKR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Creek Road Miners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Creek Road Miners Business Description

Creek Road Miners logo
Industry
Financial Services » Capital Markets NAICS : 523130 SIC : 6221
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2700 Homestead Road, Park City, UT, USA, 84098
Wizard Brands Inc produces live pop culture conventions (Comic Conventions) across the United States that provide a social networking and entertainment venue for enthusiasts of movies, TV shows, video games, technology, toys, social networking, gaming, comic books, and graphic novels. Its Comic Conventions provide an opportunity for companies in the entertainment, toy, gaming, publishing, and retail business to carry out sales, marketing, product promotion, public relations, advertising, and sponsorship efforts. The company receives revenue from its Comic Conventions from three sources namely consumer admissions; exhibitor booth sales; and national and/or regional sponsorships.
Executives
Kessler Paul 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 662 N. SEPULVEDA BLVD., SUITE 300 LOS ANGELES CA 90049
Macaluso John Michael other: Former 10% owner C/O WIZARD WORLD, INC. 2201 PARK PLACE, SUITE 101 EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Malinoff Randall S officer: Chief Operating Officer 25262 PRADO DE LA PUMA CALABASAS CA 91302
Maatta John D director, officer: President & CEO 15266 VALLEY VISTA BLVD SHERMAN OAKS CA 91403
Mats Vadim director 285 GRAND AVENUE ENGLEWOOD NJ 07631
Suess Gregory director 9701 WILSHIRE BLVD 8TH FLOOR BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Bristol Capital Llc 10 percent owner PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: BRISTOL CAPITAL LLC a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Shamus Kenneth director 11 DEER HORN TRAIL UPPER SADDLE RIVER NJ 07458
Bristol Investment Fund Ltd 10 percent owner 89 NEXUS WAY CAMANA BAY, PO BOX 311063 GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1205
Mathews Michael director 257 PARK AVENUE SOUTH SUITE 602 NEW YORK NY 10010
Fields Terry R director, officer: CEO and CFO 3960 HOWARD HUGHES PKWY #500 LAS VEGAS NV 89169
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