OTG (Otg Exp) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


What is Otg Exp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Otg Exp OTG Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Otg Exp  (NAS:OTG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Otg Exp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

OTG vs IRGTQ, CDIF, STRZ: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Otg Exp Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Otg Exp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Otg Exp (OTG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Otg Exp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
How does Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to IRGTQ and CDIF?
Otg Exp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Restaurants company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Otg Exp's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Otg Exp stock overvalued right now?
Otg Exp (OTG) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Otg Exp (OTG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Otg Exp Business Description

Otg Exp Inc was incorporated on October 27, 2015 in Delaware. It is a travel restaurateur with operations in North America with more than 220 locations in 23 terminals across 10 airports. The Company designs, develops, operates and manages the terminal concessions programs, which refers to the programs where it either operates all of the F&B concessions or F&B and N&G concessions or have management authority over the concession program or terminal. The Company operates in the United States and Canada. It has relationships with manufacturers that deliver products directly to its concession locations. OTG's customers are comprised of two distinct groups. The first group includes airlines, such as United, Delta and JetBlue, airport operators and concession program managers. The other commercial enterprises include car rental companies, hotel chains and online shopping sites. The second group consists of the airport users, which include passengers, airline and airport employees. It competes with concession program companies, such as HMSHost Corporation, SSP Group and Hudson Group, as well as other regional and local concessionaires. The Company is subject to federal, state and local government regulations, including those relating to, among others, public health and safety, zoning and fire codes. Failure to obtain or retain food service, health permit or other licenses and approvals would adversely affect its operations.