PEO (Adams Natural Resources Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00% (As of Sep. 09, 2026)

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PEO Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc PEO
55 GF Score
Price $29.41
GF Value $28.76
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Adams Natural Resources Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Adams Natural Resources Fund PEO +0.70% 55 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates PEO with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.76 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Adams Natural Resources Fund  (NYSE:PEO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Adams Natural Resources Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


PEO vs MFIC, MQY, BTO: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adams Natural Resources Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


PEO
55GF Score
Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc PEO
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Adams Natural Resources Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% mean?
Adams Natural Resources Fund (PEO) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% as of Sep. 09, 2026.
Is Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Adams Natural Resources Fund's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Overall, Adams Natural Resources Fund has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MFIC and MQY?
Adams Natural Resources Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.00% can be compared against companies in the Asset Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Asset Management company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Asset Management industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Adams Natural Resources Fund's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Adams Natural Resources Fund stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Adams Natural Resources Fund (PEO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.76, compared to a current price of $29.41 — trading 2.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%. Adams Natural Resources Fund's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Adams Natural Resources Fund (PEO), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00% as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Adams Natural Resources Fund (PEO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Adams Natural Resources Fund stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $29.41 is trading 2.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $28.76. GuruFocus considers Adams Natural Resources Fund to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for PEO:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.00%
  • GF Value™: $28.76 vs. price of $29.41 (2.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PEO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Adams Natural Resources Fund Business Description

Address 500 East Pratt Street, Suite 1300, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21202
Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc is a non-diversified U.S. equity fund that invests in liquid energy and other natural resources stocks. The Fund's investment objectives are preservation of capital, reasonable income, and opportunity for capital gain. A majority of its assets are invested in the petroleum or natural resources industries or industries connected to them. It has broad flexibility to invest in stocks of varying capitalizations and predominantly invests in stocks found in the S&P 500 Energy and S&P 500 Materials sectors.
55GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$29.41
Price
$28.76
GF Value