Adams Natural Resources Fund (Adams Natural Resources Fund) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 01, 2024)

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What is Adams Natural Resources Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), Adams Natural Resources Fund's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Adams Natural Resources Fund's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Adams Natural Resources Fund is N/A%.

The industry rank for Adams Natural Resources Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

PEO's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Adams Natural Resources Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Adams Natural Resources Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Adams Natural Resources Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Adams Natural Resources Fund Annual Data

Trend

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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Adams Natural Resources Fund Semi-Annual Data
	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial								-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Adams Natural Resources Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Adams Natural Resources Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Adams Natural Resources Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Adams Natural Resources Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adams Natural Resources Fund's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

Adams Natural Resources Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Adams Natural Resources Fund's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Adams Natural Resources Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

0.000

11.5406

0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(0	-	23.12)	/	0
	=	N/A %

Adams Natural Resources Fund (NYSE:PEO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Adams Natural Resources Fund Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Adams Natural Resources Fund's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Adams Natural Resources Fund (Adams Natural Resources Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc (NYSE:PEO) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

500 East Pratt Street, Suite 1300, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21202

Website

https://www.adamsfunds.com

Adams Natural Resources Fund Inc is a closed-end equity investment company specializing in energy and other natural resources stocks. The investment objectives of the fund are the preservation of capital, the attainment of reasonable income from investments, and an opportunity for capital appreciation. Its portfolio of investments comprises of different sector investments such as in the energy sector and basic materials.

Executives

Gregory W. Buckley	officer: Executive Vice President	500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Mary Christine Gay	director	3600 LAS VEGAS BOULEVARD SOUTH, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Jane Musser Nelson	director	100 FEDERAL STREET, 31ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Brian Stephen Hook	officer: Treasurer	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Kathleen T Mcgahran	director	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Janis F. Kerns	officer: Gen Counsel,Corp Sec, CCO	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Lauriann C Kloppenburg	director	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Frederic A Escherich	director	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Phillip Goldstein	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Response	60 HERITAGE DRIVE, PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Andrew Dakos	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Response	250 PEHLE AVE., SUITE 708, SADDLE BROOK NJ 07663
Investors, Llp Bulldog	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Response	PARK 80 WEST - PLAZA TWO, 250 PEHLE AVE. SUITE 708, SADDLE BROOK NJ 07663
Frederick D. Disanto	10 percent owner	6060 PARKLAND, SUITE 200, CLEVELAND OH 44124
Ancora Advisors, Llc	10 percent owner, other: Member of a Group	6060 PARKLAND BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, CLEVELAND OH 44124
James M Chadwick	10 percent owner	C/O IMPERIAL HOLDINGS, INC., 701 PARK OF COMMERCE BLVD., #301, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Kenneth James Dale	director	ADAMS FUNDS, 500 EAST PRATT STREET, SUITE 1300, BALTIMORE MD 21202