GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Parke Bancorp Inc (NAS:PKBK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Parke Bancorp (Parke Bancorp) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2001. Start your Free Trial

What is Parke Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Parke Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Parke Bancorp  (NAS:PKBK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Parke Bancorp Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Parke Bancorp's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Parke Bancorp (Parke Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
601 Delsea Drive, Washington Township, NJ, USA, 08080
Parke Bancorp Inc operates as a commercial bank providing personal and financial services to individuals and small to mid-sized businesses in various states of the USA. The bank offers services such as loan products, deposit services, and other financial products through its retail branches and other channels to its customers. Its lending businesses are commercial real estate lending, residential real estate lending, and construction lending among others. The Company operates one reportable segment of business, community banking.
Executives
Jeffrey H Kripitz director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Vito S Pantilione director, officer: President 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Nicholas J Pantilione officer: SVP & Chief Lending Officer 601 DELSEA DRIVE, SEWELL NJ 08080
Ralph Martin Gallo officer: Executive VP/COO 601 DELSEA DRIVE, SEWELL NJ 08080
Arret F Dobson director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Daniel J Dalton director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Celestino R Pennoni director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Paul E Palmieri officer: SVP & Chief Credit Officer 601 DELSEA DRIVE, SEWELL NJ 08080
Edward Infantolino director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Sheppard Jack C Jr director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
John S Kaufman officer: SVP and CFO 1902 LONG HILL ROAD, MILLINGTON NJ 07946
John F Hawkins officer: CFO/SVP 601 DELSEA DRIVE, SEWELL NJ 08080
Anthony J Jannetti director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Elizabeth A Milavsky officer: Chief Operating Officer/EVP 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080
Fred G Choate director 601 DELSEA DRIVE, WASHINGTON TOWNSHIP NJ 08080

Parke Bancorp (Parke Bancorp) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Parke Bancorp, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 03-31-2020

PARKE BANCORP, INC. ANNOUNCES CASH DIVIDEND

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 12-15-2021

PARKE BANCORP, INC. ANNOUNCES CASH DIVIDEND

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 08-30-2022

Parke Bancorp, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 07-02-2020

Parke Bancorp, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 04-23-2021

Parke Bancorp, Inc. Announces Cash Dividend

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 01-21-2021

Parke Bancorp, Inc. Announces 10% Stock Dividend

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 02-04-2020

Parke Bancorp Inc's Dividend Analysis

By GuruFocus Research 01-01-2024