Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Perdoceo Education (NAS:PRDO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
PRDO vs UTI, MH, STRA: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Education Industry
For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Perdoceo Education Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-9.19
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Perdoceo Education (PRDO) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026.
Is Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Perdoceo Education's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Perdoceo Education has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to UTI and MH?
Perdoceo Education's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Education industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Education company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Education industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Perdoceo Education's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Perdoceo Education stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Perdoceo Education (PRDO) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $31.46, compared to a current price of $33.34 — trading 6% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Perdoceo Education's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Perdoceo Education (PRDO), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Perdoceo Education (PRDO) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Perdoceo Education stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $33.34 is trading 6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $31.46.
GuruFocus considers Perdoceo Education to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for PRDO:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
GF Value™: $31.46 vs. price of $33.34 (6% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the PRDO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Perdoceo Education Corp is an American for-profit education company that focuses on quality postsecondary education online to a diverse student population, along with campus-based and blended learning programs. The company's important segments include the American InterContinental University, the University of St. Augustine for Health Sciences, and Colorado Technical University. These universities provide undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral degree programs focusing on business, technology, management, and social services, with the majority of the students enrolled in programs offered fully online. The majority of the its revenue comes from the Colorado Technical University segment.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for PRDO
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
PRDO has been successfully added to your 