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PTC (PTC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 19, 2024)


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What is PTC Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PTC's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



PTC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.32

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


PTC  (NAS:PTC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PTC Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PTC (PTC) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » PTC Inc (NAS:PTC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
121 Seaport Boulevard, Boston, MA, USA, 02210
PTC offers high-end computer-assisted design (Creo) and product lifecycle management (Windchill) software as well as Internet of Things and AR industrial solutions. Founded in 1985, PTC has 28,000 customers, with revenue stemming mostly from North America (45%) and Europe (40%).
Executives
Robert Schechter director C/O NMS COMMUNICATIONS, 100 CROSSING BLVD, FRAMINGHAM MA 01702
Kristian Talvitie officer: Chief Financial Officer 121 SEAPORT BOULEVARD, BOSTON MA 02210
Michael Ditullio officer: EVP 121 SEAPORT BLVD, BOSTON MA 02210
Von Staats Aaron C officer: SVP, General Counsel and Clerk C/O PARAMETRIC TECHNOLOGY CORP, 140 KENDRICK ST, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Catherine Kniker officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O 121 SEAPORT BOULEVARD, BOSTON MA 02210
Paul A Lacy director KRONOS INCORP, 297 BILLERICA RD, CHELMSFORD MA 01824
Lathan Corinna director 140 KENDRICK STREET, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Blake D. Moret director C/O ROCKWELL AUTOMATION, INC., 1201 SOUTH SECOND STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53204
Neil Barua director, officer: CEO-Elect C/O SERVICEMAX, INC., 4450 ROSEWOOD DRIVE #200, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Janesh Moorjani director C/O ELASTIC N.V., 800 WEST EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 350, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94040
Michal Katz director 42 ROCK SHELTER ROAD, WACCABUC NY 10597
James E Heppelmann officer: EVP, Chief Product Officer C/O PARAMETRIC TECHNOLOGY CORP, 140 KENDRICK ST., NEEDHAM MA 02494
Amarpreet Hanspal director AUTODESK, INC., 111 MCINNIS PARKWAY, SAN RAFAEL CA 94903
Phillip M Fernandez director C/O MARKETO, INC., 901 MARINER'S ISLAND BLVD., SUITE 500, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Mark D Benjamin director NUANCE COMMUNICATIONS, INC., 1 WAYSIDE ROAD, BURLINGTON MA 01803

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