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Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.01% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Qualcomm's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Qualcomm's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Qualcomm Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Qualcomm's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Qualcomm's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Probability of Financial Distress (%)'s extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.



Qualcomm Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Qualcomm  (NAS:QCOM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Qualcomm Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Qualcomm's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Business Description

Qualcomm logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » Qualcomm Inc (NAS:QCOM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
5775 Morehouse Drive, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121-1714
Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs chips for smartphones. The company's key patents revolve around CDMA and OFDMA technologies, which are standards in wireless communications that are the backbone of all 3G and 4G networks. The firm is a leader in 5G network technology as well. Qualcomm's IP is licensed by virtually all wireless device makers. The firm is also the world's largest wireless chip vendor, supplying nearly every premier handset maker with leading-edge processors. Qualcomm also sells RF-front end modules into smartphones and chips into automotive and Internet of Things markets.
Executives
Neil Martin officer: SVP, Finance and CAO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
James J Cathey officer: Chief Commercial Officer 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Ann C Chaplin officer: General Counsel&Corp Secretary 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Sylvia Acevedo director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Gregory N Johnson director C/O INTUIT INC., 2700 COAST AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Jean-pascal Tricoire director 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Jamie S Miller director GENERAL ELECTRIC COMPANY, 5 NECCO STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Heather S Ace officer: EVP, Human Resources 3721 VALLEY CENTRE DR SUITE 500, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Akash J. Palkhiwala officer: SVP & Interim CFO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David Wise officer: Interim CFO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Erin L Polek officer: SVP Corporate Controller & CAO 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Martin B Anstice director 4650 CUSHING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Irene B Rosenfeld director 999 VANDERBILT BEACH ROAD, SUITE 601, NAPLES FL 34108
Steven M Mollenkopf director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5775 MOREHOUSE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Neil Smit director C/O AMERICA ONLINE LATIN AMERICA, INC., 6600 N. ANDREWS AVE., SUITE 400, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33309

Qualcomm (NAS:QCOM) Headlines

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