Valuetronics Holdings (SGX:BN2) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jul. 07, 2026)


SGX:BN2 Valuetronics Holdings Ltd SGX:BN2
61 GF Score
Price S$1.08
GF Value S$0.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Valuetronics Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Valuetronics Holdings SGX:BN2 61 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates SGX:BN2 with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of S$0.62 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Valuetronics Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Valuetronics Holdings  (SGX:BN2) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Valuetronics Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


SGX:BN2 vs APH, GLW, TEL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Valuetronics Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valuetronics Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Valuetronics Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valuetronics Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


SGX:BN2
61GF Score
Valuetronics Holdings Ltd SGX:BN2
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Valuetronics Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.20

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Valuetronics Holdings (SGX:BN2) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jul. 07, 2026.
Is Valuetronics Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Valuetronics Holdings' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Valuetronics Holdings has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valuetronics Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to APH and GLW?
Valuetronics Holdings' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Hardware company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Valuetronics Holdings's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valuetronics Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valuetronics Holdings (SGX:BN2) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is S$0.62, compared to a current price of S$1.08 — trading 74.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Valuetronics Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valuetronics Holdings (SGX:BN2), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Valuetronics Holdings (SGX:BN2) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Valuetronics Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of S$1.08 is trading 74.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of S$0.62. GuruFocus considers Valuetronics Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SGX:BN2:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: S$0.62 vs. price of S$1.08 (74.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SGX:BN2 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Valuetronics Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges GJ7:Germany
Address No. 18 On Lai Street, Unit 9-11, 7th Floor, Technology Park, New Territories, Shatin, Hong Kong, HKG
Valuetronics Holdings Ltd is an integrated electronics manufacturing services provider. The company specializes in original equipment manufacturing services as well as original design manufacturing services. It offers a broad combination of design, engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain support services for electronic and electro-mechanical products. It has two reportable segments; Consumer Electronics, and Industrial and Commercial Electronics covering smart lighting products, temperature sensing devices, communication products, automotive products, and medical equipments. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Industrial and Commercial Electronics segment. Geographically, the company generates maximum revenue from the United States of America.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SGX:BN2

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

S$1.08
Price
S$0.62
GF Value