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SRH Total Return Fund, (SRH Total Return Fund,) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 17, 2024)


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What is SRH Total Return Fund, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SRH Total Return Fund,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



SRH Total Return Fund, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-10.38

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


SRH Total Return Fund,  (NYSE:STEW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


SRH Total Return Fund, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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SRH Total Return Fund, (SRH Total Return Fund,) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1700 Broadway, Suite 1850, Denver, CO, USA, 80290
SRH Total Return Fund, Inc. is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company. The company's investment objective is to seek total return. Its fund utilizes a bottom-up, value-driven investment process to identify securities of good quality businesses trading below estimated intrinsic value.
Executives
Thomas Jack Moore director 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Jonathan Albro Vickery other: Officer of Advisor 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1230, DENVER CO 80290
Advisors Paralel other: Investment Adviser 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Jill Kerschen officer: Treasurer 1700 BROADWAY, SUITE 1850, DENVER CO 80290
Stephen C Miller director, officer: President 2344 SPRUCE STREET, SUITE A, BOULDER CO 80302
Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Co 10 percent owner 1295 STATE STREET, SPRINGFIELD MA 01111
Guardian Life Insurance Co Of America 10 percent owner 10 HUDSON YARDS, NY NY 10001
Sun Life Financial Inc 10 percent owner SUN LIFE ASSURANCE CO OF CANADA, ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6
Sun Life Assurance Co Of Canada 10 percent owner ONE YORK STREET, TORONTO A6 M5J 0B6
Ernest Horejsi Trust No 1b 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501
Stewart R. Horejsi Trust No. 2 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501
Mildred B. Horejsi Trust 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501
Susan L Ciciora Trust 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501
Stewart West Indies Trust 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501
Lola Brown Trust 1b 10 percent owner C/O ALASKA TRUST COMPANY, 1029 WEST 3RD AVENUE, SUITE 400, ANCHORAGE AK 99501