Rogers Communications (STU:RCIB) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


STU:RCIB Rogers Communications Inc STU:RCIB
87 GF Score
Price €31.21
GF Value €34.38
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Rogers Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Rogers Communications STU:RCIB -2.59% 87 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:RCIB with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of €34.38. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rogers Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rogers Communications  (STU:RCIB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rogers Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


STU:RCIB vs TMUS, VZ, T: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Rogers Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rogers Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Rogers Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rogers Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


STU:RCIB
87GF Score
Rogers Communications Inc STU:RCIB
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Rogers Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.43

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% mean?
Rogers Communications (STU:RCIB) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Rogers Communications' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Rogers Communications' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Overall, Rogers Communications has a GF Score™ of 87/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Rogers Communications' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to TMUS and VZ?
Rogers Communications' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% can be compared against companies in the Telecommunication Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Telecommunication Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Telecommunication Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Rogers Communications's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Rogers Communications stock overvalued right now?
Rogers Communications (STU:RCIB) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06%. The stock's GF Value™ is €34.38, compared to a current price of €31.21 — trading 9.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Rogers Communications' overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Rogers Communications (STU:RCIB), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Rogers Communications (STU:RCIB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Rogers Communications stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €31.21 is trading 9.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €34.38.

Key valuation signals for STU:RCIB:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06%
  • GF Value™: €34.38 vs. price of €31.21 (9.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:RCIB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Rogers Communications Business Description

Address 333 Bloor Street East, 10th Floor, Toronto, ON, CAN, M4W 1G9
Rogers Communications is the largest wireless service provider in Canada with more than 11 million subscribers, equating to one-third of the total Canadian market. Rogers' wireless business accounts for more than half of total revenue and has been growing at a higher rate than other segments. The cable segment, which provides about 38% of total revenue after acquiring Shaw, offers home internet, television, and landline phone service to consumers and businesses. Remaining sales come from Rogers' media unit, which owns and operates various television and radio stations and major Toronto sports franchises, including the Blue Jays, Maple Leafs, Raptors, Toronto FC, and Argonauts.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:RCIB

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€31.21
Price
€34.38
GF Value