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SWIM (Latham Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Latham Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Latham Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Latham Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Latham Group  (NAS:SWIM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Latham Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Latham Group Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Construction » Latham Group Inc (NAS:SWIM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
787 Watervliet Shaker Road, Latham, NY, USA, 12110
Latham Group Inc is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of in-ground residential swimming pools, liners, and covers in North America, Australia, and New Zealand. It derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Oliver C. Gloe officer: VICE PRESIDENT, FINANCE C/O LATHAM GROUP, 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Sanjeev Bahl officer: COO Latham Pool Products, Inc. C/O LATHAM GROUP, INC., 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Scott Michael Rajeski director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Patrick M Sheller officer: General Counsel & Secretary 343 STATE STREET, ROCHESTER NY 14650
Suraj Kunchala officer: Vice President & Controller 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Kaushal Bhikhesh Dhruv officer: Chief Information Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Joshua D. Cowley officer: Chief Commercial Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Melissa Claire Feck officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
J Mark Borseth officer: Chief Financial Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
James E Cline director C/O TREX COMPANY INC., 160 EXETER DRIVE, WINCHESTER VA 22603
Brian Patrick Pratt director 112 E. 17TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10003
Delu Jackson director 650 TENNIS CLUB DRIVE, APT. L107, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33311
Mark Phillip Laven director 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Masson Robert L. Ii officer: Chief Financial Officer 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110
Dane L. Derbyshire director 787 WATERVLIET SHAKER ROAD, LATHAM NY 12110