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Stryker (NYSE:SYK) Probability of Financial Distress (%)

: 0.02% (As of Today)
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Stryker's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Stryker's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   
Stryker Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Stryker's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Stryker's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Stryker Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Stryker  (NYSE:SYK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Stryker Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Stryker (NYSE:SYK) Business Description

Stryker logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Stryker Corp (NYSE:SYK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
NYSE:MDT NYSE:BSX NYSE:ABT NYSE:EW NAS:DXCM NYSE:ZBH NAS:ALGN NYSE:STE NAS:PODD NYSE:BIO SZSE:300760 XAMS:PHIA XSWX:SOON SHSE:688271 LSE:SN. ASX:COH NYSE:PEN OCSE:DEMANT NAS:BRKR NAS:SWAV
Traded in Other Exchanges
SYK:Mexico SYK:Germany S1YK34:Brazil SYK:Austria
Address
2825 Airview Boulevard, Kalamazoo, MI, USA, 49002
Website
https://www.stryker.com
Stryker designs, manufactures, and markets an array of medical equipment, instruments, consumable supplies, and implantable devices. The product portfolio includes hip and knee replacements, endoscopy systems, operating room equipment, embolic coils, hospital beds and gurneys, and spinal devices. Stryker remains one of the three largest competitors in reconstructive orthopedic implants and holds the leadership position in operating room equipment. Just over one fourth of Stryker's total revenue currently comes from outside the United States.
Executives
James Andrew Pierce officer: Group President 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Spencer S Stiles officer: Group President 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Giovanni Caforio director BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY, ROUTE 206 & PROVINCELINE ROAD, LAWRENCEVILLE NJ 08543
Skeete Tatum Lisa M director 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Robert S Fletcher officer: VP, Chief Legal Officer 2825 AIRVIEW BOULEVARD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Viju Menon officer: Group President 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Sherilyn S Mccoy director JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Rajeev Suri director 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Mary K Brainerd director 8170 33RD AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55425
Graham A Mclean officer: President, Asia-Pacific 1 CORPORATE AVENUE ROWVILLE, VICTORIA C3 3178
Glenn S Boehnlein officer: Vice President, CFO 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
M Kathryn Fink officer: VP, Global Human Resources 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Yin C Becker officer: VP, Comm. & Public Affairs 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Bijoy Sagar officer: VP, Chief Information Officer 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
Michael Damon Hutchinson officer: General Counsel 2825 AIRVIEW BLVD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002