Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ton Yi Industrial (TPE:9907) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ton Yi Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
TPE:9907 vs SW, PKG, AMCR: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ton Yi Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Packaging & Containers Industry
For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Ton Yi Industrial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.47
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Ton Yi Industrial (TPE:9907) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Ton Yi Industrial's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Ton Yi Industrial has a GF Score™ of 89/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SW and PKG?
Ton Yi Industrial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Packaging & Containers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Packaging & Containers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Packaging & Containers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Ton Yi Industrial's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ton Yi Industrial stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ton Yi Industrial (TPE:9907) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is NT$19.52, compared to a current price of NT$15.40 — trading 21.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Ton Yi Industrial's overall GF Score™ is 89/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ton Yi Industrial (TPE:9907), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ton Yi Industrial (TPE:9907) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ton Yi Industrial stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of NT$15.40 is trading 21.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of NT$19.52.
GuruFocus considers Ton Yi Industrial to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TPE:9907:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
GF Value™: NT$19.52 vs. price of NT$15.40 (21.1% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TPE:9907 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ton Yi Industrial Corp manufactures and sells a variety of packaging products. The company's primary product categories include cold rolled carbon steel, tin plates, tin cans, and polyethylene terephthalate (PET). Cold rolled carbon steel is sold to manufacturers of buckets, electric parts, steel tubes, and car parts. Tin plates are sold to manufacturers of nozzles, spouts, crown caps, and can liners. Tin cans are typically sold to the food industry, while PET is used to make plastic bottles, caps, and labels for the beverage industry. The company's segments include: Taiwan; Mainland China - tinplate products; Mainland China - plastic products; and Others.
89GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TPE:9907
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
TPE:9907 has been successfully added to your 