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Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Wealth Management (TSE:3772) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Wealth Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
Wealth Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Wealth Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Wealth Management Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.27
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% mean?
Wealth Management (TSE:3772) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% as of Aug. 02, 2026.
Is Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Wealth Management's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Overall, Wealth Management has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Wealth Management's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Wealth Management's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Wealth Management stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wealth Management (TSE:3772) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円843.67, compared to a current price of 円1,049.00 — trading 24.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Wealth Management's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 14 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Wealth Management (TSE:3772), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Aug. 02, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Wealth Management (TSE:3772) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Wealth Management stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of 円1,049.00 is trading 24.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円843.67.
GuruFocus considers Wealth Management to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for TSE:3772:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07%
GF Value™: 円843.67 vs. price of 円1,049.00 (24.3% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3772 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Wealth Management Inc, along with its subsidiaries, operates in the following reportable segments: Asset management business, Real Estate business, and Hotel operation business. The majority of its revenue is generated from the Real Estate business, which is engaged in the acquisition, development, ownership, sale, and rental (master lease), etc., of real estate. The Asset management business is engaged in the operation and management of real estate and also provides investment advice on the acquisition, sale, and management of real estate. The Hotel operation business provides various services related to hotel operation, such as revenue management, on-site management of hotels, and consulting on hotel opening and operation.
57GF Score
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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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