GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » US Foods Holding Corp (NYSE:USFD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

USFD (US Foods Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Mar. 15, 2025)


View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is US Foods Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Food Distribution subindustry, US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



US Foods Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


US Foods Holding  (NYSE:USFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


US Foods Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of US Foods Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


US Foods Holding Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9399 West Higgins Road, Suite 100, Rosemont, IL, USA, 60018
US Foods Holding Corp is the U.S. food service distributor that distributes food and nonfood products to the healthcare and hospitality industries, restaurants, and education, government facilities, and grocers. It has nearly 250,000 restaurants and foodservice operators with more than 70 locations that provide customers with food offering and a comprehensive suite of e-commerce, technology, and business solutions. The company operates in one business segment in which it markets, sells and distributes fresh, frozen and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers throughout the U.S.
Executives
Dirk J. Locascio officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., ROSEMONT IL 60018
David A Rickard officer: See Remarks C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Scott D. Ferguson director 250 WEST 55TH STREET, 34TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Poe David L Jr officer: EVP, Chief Merchant 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Martha Ha officer: EVP, General Counsel 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
James D Sturgell officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Randy J Taylor officer: EVP, Field Operations 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Andrew E. Iacobucci officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., ROSEMONT IL 60018
Steven Guberman officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Kkr Group Co. Inc. 10 percent owner 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kkr Fresh Holdings L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Kkr Group Partnership L.p. 10 percent owner C/O KOHLBERG KRAVIS ROBERTS & CO. L.P., 30 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Sunil Gupta director C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W HIGGINS RD, SUITE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
Jay Kvasnicka officer: See Remarks C/O US FOODS HOLDING CORP., 9399 W. HIGGINS RD., STE 100, ROSEMONT IL 60018
David E Flitman officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O NALCO COMPANY, 1601 WEST DIEHL ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563