Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, United States Lime & Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
United States Lime & Minerals (NAS:USLM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
United States Lime & Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
USLM vs TTAM, KNF, TGLS: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison
For the Building Materials subindustry, United States Lime & Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
United States Lime & Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Building Materials Industry
For the Building Materials industry and Basic Materials sector, United States Lime & Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where United States Lime & Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
United States Lime & Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.27
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
United States Lime & Minerals (USLM) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is United States Lime & Minerals' Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
United States Lime & Minerals' current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, United States Lime & Minerals has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does United States Lime & Minerals' Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to TTAM and KNF?
United States Lime & Minerals' Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Building Materials industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Building Materials company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Building Materials industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. United States Lime & Minerals's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is United States Lime & Minerals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United States Lime & Minerals (USLM) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $112.92, compared to a current price of $107.27 — trading 5% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. United States Lime & Minerals' overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For United States Lime & Minerals (USLM), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is United States Lime & Minerals (USLM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United States Lime & Minerals stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $107.27 is trading 5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $112.92.
GuruFocus considers United States Lime & Minerals to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for USLM:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: $112.92 vs. price of $107.27 (5% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the USLM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
United States Lime & Minerals Business Description
United States Lime & Minerals Inc is engaged in the business of manufacturing lime and limestone products including PLS, quicklime, hydrated lime and lime slurry. The company supplies its products predominantly to the construction including highway, road, and building contractors, industrial including paper and glass manufacturers, environmental including municipal sanitation and water treatment facilities and flue gas treatment processes, metals including steel producers, oil and gas services, roof shingle manufacturers and agriculture including poultry industries. The company operates through its Lime and Limestone Operations segment.
93GF Score
Get the complete analysis for USLM
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
USLM has been successfully added to your 